Foundations of Risk Analysis

Foundations of Risk Analysis

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Zusammenfassung

This book presents the issues core to risk analysis: understanding what risk means, expressing risk, building risk models, addressing uncertainty, and applying probability models to real problems. The author provides readers with the knowledge and basic thinking they require to successfully manage risk and uncertainty to support decision making.

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Foundations of Risk Analysis by Terje Aven

Foundations of Risk Analysis presents the issues core to risk analysis – understanding what risk means, expressing risk,  building risk models, addressing uncertainty, and applying probability models to real problems. The author provides the readers with the knowledge and basic thinking they require to successfully manage risk and uncertainty to support decision making. This updated edition reflects recent developments on risk and uncertainty concepts, representations and treatment. New material in Foundations of Risk Analysis includes: An up to date presentation of how to understand, define and describe risk based on research carried out in recent years.  A new definition of the concept of vulnerability consistent with the understanding of risk. Reflections on the need for seeing beyond probabilities to measure/describe uncertainties. A presentation and  discussion of a method for assessing the importance of assumptions (uncertainty factors) in the background knowledge that the subjective probabilities are based on A brief introduction to approaches that produce interval (imprecise) probabilities instead of exact probabilities. In addition the new version provides a number of other improvements, for example, concerning the use of cost-benefit analyses and the As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP) principle. Foundations of Risk Analysis provides a framework for understanding, conducting and using risk analysis suitable for advanced undergraduates, graduates, analysts and researchers from statistics, engineering, finance, medicine and the physical sciences, as well as for managers facing decision making problems involving risk and uncertainty.

"The book provides a framework for understanding, conducting and using risk analysis suitable for advanced undergraduates, graduates, analysts and researchers from statistics, engineering, finance, medicine and the physical sciences, as well as for managers facing decision making problems involving risk and uncertainty"  (Zentralblatt
MATH
, 1 December 2012)



 

Terje Aven, University of Stavanger, Norway.

SKU Nicht verfügbar
ISBN 13 9781119966975
ISBN 10 1119966973
Titel Foundations of Risk Analysis
Autor Terje Aven
Buchzustand Nicht verfügbar
Bindungsart Hardback
Verlag John Wiley & Sons Inc
Erscheinungsjahr 2012-03-16
Seitenanzahl 240
Hinweis auf dem Einband Die Abbildung des Buches dient nur Illustrationszwecken, die tatsächliche Bindung, das Cover und die Auflage können sich davon unterscheiden.
Hinweis Nicht verfügbar