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China's Democratic Future By Bruce Gilley (University Station)

China's Democratic Future
by Bruce Gilley (University Station)

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An eminent China expert considers how the Chinese Communist Party will be removed from power and democratic transition will take place.
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China's Democratic Future Summary


China's Democratic Future: How It Will Happen and Where It Will Lead by Bruce Gilley (University Station)

The end of communist rule in China will be one of the most momentous events of the twenty-first century, sounding the death knell for the Marxist-Leninist experiment and changing the lives of a fifth of humanity. This book provides a likely blow-by-blow account of how the Chinese Communist Party will be removed from power and how a new democracy will be born. In more than half a century of rule, the Chinese Communist Party has turned a poor and benighted China into a moderately well-off and increasingly influential nation. Yet the Party has failed to keep pace with change since stepping aside from daily life in the late-1970s. After nearly a hundred years of frustrating attempts to create a workable political system following the overthrow of the last dynasty, the prospects for democracy in China are better than ever, according to Bruce Gilley. Gilley predicts an elite-led transformation rather than a popular-led overthrow. He profiles the key actors and looks at the response of excluded elites, such as the military, as well as interested parties such as Taiwan and Tibet. He explains how democracy in China will be very "Chinese," even as it will also embody fundamental universal liberal features. He deals with competing interests-regional, sectoral, and class-of China's economy and society under democracy, addressing the pressing concerns of world business. Finally he considers the implications for Asia as well as for the United States. The end of communist rule in China will be one of the most momentous events of the twenty-first century, sounding the death knell for the Marxist-Leninist experiment and changing the lives of a fifth of humanity. This book provides a likely blow-by-blow account of how the Chinese Communist Party will be removed from power and how a new democracy will be born. In more than half a century of rule, the Chinese Communist Party has turned a poor and benighted China into a moderately well-off and increasingly influential nation. Yet the Party has failed to keep pace with change since stepping aside from daily life in the late-1970s. After nearly a hundred years of frustrating attempts to create a workable political system following the overthrow of the last dynasty, the prospects for democracy in China are better than ever, according to Bruce Gilley. Gilley predicts an elite-led transformation rather than a popular-led overthrow. He profiles the key actors and looks at the response of excluded elites, such as the military, as well as interested parties such as Taiwan and Tibet. He explains how democracy in China will be very "Chinese," even as it will also embody fundamental universal liberal features. He deals with competing interests-regional, sectoral, and class-of China's economy and society under democracy, addressing the pressing concerns of world business. Finally he considers the implications for Asia as well as for the United States.

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China's Democratic Future Reviews


China's Democratic Future is a very smart and provocative book, as well as a tour ofancien regime China before it becomes ancien. -- Nicholas D. Kristof New York Review of Books This book is an optimistic prediction from a journalist with more than a decade's experience reporting for the Far Eastern Economic Review... this book is an important contribution to the debate about China's future. Publishers Weekly Although the author speaks to his immediate audience of China specialists such as himself, his prose is accessible to anyone wishing to study contemporary China in a serious way. Booklist Bruce Gilley, a China hand for more than a decade, puts forward the provocative hypothesis in China's Democratic Future: How It Will Happen and Where It Will Lead that within the next few decades, perhaps as early as 2010, China will become a democracy. He is in good company. Deng Xiaoping promised a democracy by 2035. -- Sandip Roy San Francisco Chronicle For one vivid glimpse of the future, you can turn to Bruce Gilley's China's Democratic Future: How It Will Happen and Where It Will Lead, which lays out a thoughtful, unusually detailed scenario for democratic change in the coming years. Baltimore Sun China seems out of sight, out of mind. Gilley reminds us that this is a monumental mistake... He leaves no doubt that for the Chinese Communist Party the end of days is rapidly approaching. -- James Harding Washington Post China's Democratic Future evinces careful research, clear writing, and a deep knowledge of China... His work is worthy of the best in Chinese geomancy. -- Richard Halloran Far Eastern Economic Review A deep knowledge of China...his work is worthy of the best in Chinese geomancy -- Richard Halloran Topics China's Democratic Future is an often thought-provoking work of political futurology...The first thing to praise is the bold, normative vision of the book...Gilley has done us a service. -- Stephen Green International Affairs China's Democratic Future is a provocative, engaging, and serious book previewing what may become one of the major political events of teh twenty-first century. -- Merle Goldman Journal of Democracy China is stirring, and Bruce Gilley has insightfully identified the evolving plot. -- Billy O. Wireman Charlotte Observer The book is an enjoyable and thought-provoking read that is strongly recommended... This book applies high caliber scholarship to a daring argument...He does a profound service to the field by creatively enlarging our canvas, and reminds us that we are unlikely to find truth without taking risks. -- Barrett L. McCormick, Marquette University The China Journal Gilley has produced a lucidly written portrayal of a Chinese polity that may indeed exist one day. -- Patricia M. Thronton Political Science Quarterly Gilley has challenged us all to think more clearly about the factors involved in shaping China's future. -- Joseph Fewsmith Taiwan Journal of Democracy An ambitious book. -- Josephe Cheng Journal of Chinese Political Science

About Bruce Gilley (University Station)


Bruce Gilley is an assistant professor of political science at Portland State University. He serves on the editorial board of the Journal of Democracy and is the author of Tiger on the Brink: Jiang Zemin, China's New Elite, Model Rebels: The Rise and Fall of China's Richest Village, and, with Andrew J. Nathan, China's New Rulers: The Secret Files. He lived in China and Hong Kong for more than a decade, working as a journalist for the Far Eastern Economic Review Magazine.

Table of Contents


Introduction Part 1: Crisis Democracy and China Democracy's Spread The Struggle for Democracy ( China's Democratic Potential Broken Promises The Republican Failure Mao's China Post-Mao Reforms The Last Days of Dictatorship The Torment of CCP Rule The PRC System A Metaphor for Transition State and Society Sustaining Economic Growth The Social Malaise A Troubled Diplomacy Political Dysfunction Resources for Change Tocqueville's Paradox The Privatization of Economic Life New Ideas New Societies Democratic Diplomacy and US Policy Border Effects and Global Civil Society Political Decompression Part II: Transition Breakdown and Mobilization Predicting Change Gradual Democracy? Metastatic Crisis Popular Mobilization Violence Last Ditchism Collapse? The Eve of Transition Democratic Breakthrough Extrication or Overthrow? The Heroes of Retreat The Pact Ending the PRC The Immediate The Interim Regime Sudden Politicization International Reaction Part III: Consolidation The Political Challenge Will Democracy Fail? Legacies and Choices New Institutions Federalism Secession The First Election Rights and Interests Rights: Threats and Safeguards Towards Consolidation Political Life Local Politics and Hong Kong Refurbishing Economic and Social Life The Struggle for Interests Growth and Development Social Welfare Regional Interests A Free Society Dealing With History A Changed International Role Democratic Peace Transitional Diplomacy Relations With the U.S. Relations with Asia Taiwan, Tibet and Xinjiang Conclusion References

Additional information

GOR001972101
China's Democratic Future: How It Will Happen and Where It Will Lead by Bruce Gilley (University Station)
Bruce Gilley (University Station)
Used - Very Good
Paperback
Columbia University Press
2005-08-26
320
0231130856
9780231130851
N/A
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
This is a used book - there is no escaping the fact it has been read by someone else and it will show signs of wear and previous use. Overall we expect it to be in very good condition, but if you are not entirely satisfied please get in touch with us.