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Decision Analysis for Management Judgement By Paul Goodwin

Decision Analysis for Management Judgement
by Paul Goodwin

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$34.99
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The ability to take decisions is at the top of most executives' list of attributes for success in management. In this book, the authors show how decision analysis can be applied so that decisions are made correctly. Numerous techniques are provided in a form usable by managers and administrators.
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Decision Analysis for Management Judgement Summary


Decision Analysis for Management Judgement by Paul Goodwin

In an increasingly complex world, decision analysis has a major role to play in helping decision makers to gain a greater understanding of the problems they face, particularly as research has shown that the decision-making process can often go wrong. This book aims to make decision analysis accessible to its largest group of potential users: managers and administrators in business and public sector organizations. It shows how decision analysis can be applied so that difficult decisions can be made with greater insight and confidence, and challenges the adequacy of making decisions on the basis of intuition alone. Drawing on ideas from a variety of disciplines, including psychology, management, science and statistics, the book shows how judgement and statistical techniques can be combined to provide a structured and defensible basis for decision making.

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Table of Contents


Decisions Involving Multiple Objectives; How People Make Decisions Involving Multiple Objectives; Introduction to Probability; Decision Making Under Uncertainty; Decision Trees and Influence Diagrams; Applying Simulation to Decision Problems; Revising Judgments in the Light of New Information; Biases in Probability Assessment; Methods for Eliciting Probabilities; Decisions Involving Groups of Individuals; Resource Allocation and Negotiation Problems; Decision Framing and Cognitive Inertia; Scenario Planning: An Alternative Way of Dealing with Uncertainty; The Analytic Hierarchy Process; Alternative Decision-Support Systems; Suggested Answers to Selected Questions; Suppliers of Computer Software; Index.

Additional information

GOR002175756
Decision Analysis for Management Judgement by Paul Goodwin
Paul Goodwin
Used - Very Good
Hardback
John Wiley and Sons Ltd
1997-10-30
325
047197496X
9780471974963
N/A
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
This is a used book - there is no escaping the fact it has been read by someone else and it will show signs of wear and previous use. Overall we expect it to be in very good condition, but if you are not entirely satisfied please get in touch with us.