{"title":"Anthony O Hagan","description":null,"products":[{"product_id":"advanced-theory-of-statistics-book-anthony-o-hagan-9780340529225","title":"Advanced Theory of Statistics","description":"The Bayesian approach to statistics is now widely accepted as theoretically sound and practically viable. Enormous advances in Bayesian methodology in recent years have resulted in a great expansion of applications of Bayesian statistics in a wide variety of fields. This important addition to the series provides a comprehensive and readable treatment of modern Bayesian theory.","brand":"WoB","offers":[{"title":"GB \/ VERY_GOOD \/ INTERNAL","offer_id":49595372044561,"sku":"GOR008756555","price":0.0,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":false},{"title":"GB \/ GOOD \/ INTERNAL","offer_id":50138562167057,"sku":"GOR012618589","price":0.0,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":false},{"title":"GB \/ LIKE_NEW \/ INTERNAL","offer_id":51711340445969,"sku":"GOR014373576","price":0.0,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0784\/4072\/6801\/files\/0340529229.jpg?v=1750974331"},{"product_id":"uncertain-judgements-book-anthony-o-hagan-9780470029992","title":"Uncertain Judgements","description":"Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples.  This is achieved by:     Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms.   An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.","brand":"WoB","offers":[{"title":"- \/ - \/ -","offer_id":50797604241681,"sku":"","price":0.0,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true},{"title":"US \/ VERY_GOOD \/ SBYB","offer_id":50797605814545,"sku":"CIN0470029994VG","price":0.0,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":false},{"title":"GB \/ NEW \/ INGRAM","offer_id":52473740689681,"sku":"NLS9780470029992","price":0.0,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true},{"title":"US \/ NEW \/ INGRAM","offer_id":52735350702353,"sku":"NIN9780470029992","price":0.0,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0784\/4072\/6801\/files\/0470029994.jpg?v=1777543102"},{"product_id":"probability-book-anthony-o-hagan-9789401070386","title":"Probability","description":"This book is an elementary and practical introduction to probability theory. It differs from other introductory texts in two important respects. First, the per- sonal (or subjective) view of probability is adopted throughout. Second, emphasis is placed on how values are assigned to probabilities in practice, i.e. the measurement of probabilities. The personal approach to probability is in many ways more natural than other current formulations, and can also provide a broader view of the subject. It thus has a unifying effect. It has also assumed great importance recently because of the growth of Bayesian Statistics. Personal probability is essential for modern Bayesian methods, and it can be difficult for students who have learnt a different view of probability to adapt to Bayesian thinking. This book has been produced in response to that difficulty, to present a thorough introduction to probability from scratch, and entirely in the personal framework.","brand":"WoB","offers":[{"title":"- \/ - \/ INTERNAL","offer_id":52410902151441,"sku":null,"price":0.0,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true},{"title":"GB \/ NEW \/ INGRAM","offer_id":52410903888145,"sku":"NLS9789401070386","price":0.0,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0784\/4072\/6801\/files\/9789401070386.jpg?v=1758780145"}],"url":"https:\/\/www.worldofbooks.com\/en-au\/collections\/author-books-by-anthony-o-hagan.oembed","provider":"World of Books ","version":"1.0","type":"link"}