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Decisions under Uncertainty Ian Jordaan (Memorial University of Newfoundland)

Decisions under Uncertainty By Ian Jordaan (Memorial University of Newfoundland)

Decisions under Uncertainty by Ian Jordaan (Memorial University of Newfoundland)

Reviews:
$137.99
Condition - Very Good
Only 2 left
Very Good

Summary

This 2005 book helps the reader to understand the tradeoffs between time, costs and risk in an engineering setting, and includes a wide range of case studies and worked examples. Equally valuable for graduate students, practising engineers, designers and project managers.

Decisions under Uncertainty Summary

Decisions under Uncertainty: Probabilistic Analysis for Engineering Decisions by Ian Jordaan (Memorial University of Newfoundland)

To better understand the core concepts of probability and to see how they affect real-world decisions about design and system performance, engineers and scientists might want to ask themselves the following questions: what exactly is meant by probability? What is the precise definition of the 100-year load and how is it calculated? What is an 'extremal' probability distribution? What is the Bayesian approach? How is utility defined? How do games fit into probability theory? What is entropy? How do I apply these ideas in risk analysis? Starting from the most basic assumptions, this 2005 book develops a coherent theory of probability and broadens it into applications in decision theory, design, and risk analysis. This book is written for engineers and scientists interested in probability and risk. It can be used by undergraduates, graduate students, or practicing engineers.

Decisions under Uncertainty Reviews

Review of the hardback: 'This book takes a very interesting approach to the treatment of uncertainty and its role in decision making. The author, who has extensive background in both academia and industry, uses an intuitive argument whenever possible to derive common laws of probability This approach has a distinct advantage for such use in contrast to the more traditional mathematical foundation, from which most engineering students are discouraged by a perceived lack of applicability. Based on the author's experience, it seems that the book would fit best into an undergraduate civil engineering curriculum, since applications are focused on decisions for the built environment.' Journal of Engineering Mechanics
Review of the hardback: 'The comprehensiveness of the book is striking. In an impressive manner the author manages to address the beginner as well as providing useful knowledge on advanced topics such as game theory and entropy. In summary, the author has succeeded in providing an up-to-date and comprehensive text on decision techniques that ought to be extensively used in engineering education and practice. In particular, the current trend toward performance-based engineering and advanced simulation models should be clearly be complemented with probabilistic analysis to account for uncertainties and decision analysis to achieve optimized designs.' Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering
Review of the hardback: ' Ian Jordaan has made an important contribution to humanity by writing this comprehensive and thoroughly readable textbook on the subject After reading the book one is much better prepared to recognize and effectively address the decision-making process in ambiguous situations where there is considerable uncertainty and the risks are high.' David A. Breslin

About Ian Jordaan (Memorial University of Newfoundland)

Ian Jordaan is a full Professor in the Faculty of Engineering and Applied Science at the Memorial University of Newfoundland, Canada. Prior to joining the university in 1986 he was Vice President, Research and Development at Det Norske Veritas (Canada) Ltd., and before this he was a full Professor in the Department of Civil Engineering at the University of Calgary, Canada. He is the recipient of a number of awards including the Horst Leipholz Medal of the Canadian Society for Civil Engineering and held the NSERC-Mobil Industrial Research Chair in Ocean Engineering at Newfoundland from 1986 to 1996.

Table of Contents

1. Uncertainty and decision-making; 2. The concept of probability; 3. Distributions and expectation; 4. The concept of utility; 5. Games and optimization; 6. Entropy; 7. Mathematical aspects; 8. Exchangeability and inference; 9. Extremes; 10. Risk, safety and reliability; 11. Data and simulation; 12. Conclusion; Appendix.

Additional information

GOR013619889
9780521782777
0521782775
Decisions under Uncertainty: Probabilistic Analysis for Engineering Decisions by Ian Jordaan (Memorial University of Newfoundland)
Ian Jordaan (Memorial University of Newfoundland)
Used - Very Good
Hardback
Cambridge University Press
2005-04-07
690
N/A
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
This is a used book - there is no escaping the fact it has been read by someone else and it will show signs of wear and previous use. Overall we expect it to be in very good condition, but if you are not entirely satisfied please get in touch with us

Customer Reviews - Decisions under Uncertainty