Causal Factor Investing by Marcos Lpezdeprado

Causal Factor Investing by Marcos Lpezdeprado

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Summary

Virtually all journal articles in the factor investing literature make associational claims, instead of causal claims. This Element analyzes the current state of causal confusion and proposes solutions with the potential to transform factor investing into a truly scientific discipline. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.

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Causal Factor Investing by Marcos Lpezdeprado

Virtually all journal articles in the factor investing literature make associational claims, in denial of the causal content of factor models. Authors do not identify the causal graph consistent with the observed phenomenon, they justify their chosen model specification in terms of correlations, and they do not propose experiments for falsifying causal mechanisms. Absent a causal theory, their findings are likely false, due to rampant backtest overfitting and incorrect specification choices. This Element differentiates between type-A and type-B spurious claims, and explains how both types prevent factor investing from advancing beyond its current phenomenological stage. It analyzes the current state of causal confusion in the factor investing literature, and proposes solutions with the potential to transform factor investing into a truly scientific discipline. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.
SKU Unavailable
ISBN 13 9781009397292
ISBN 10 100939729X
Title Causal Factor Investing
Author Marcos M López De Prado
Series Elements In Quantitative Finance
Condition Unavailable
Binding Type Paperback
Publisher Cambridge University Press
Year published 2023-11-09
Number of pages 75
Cover note Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
Note Unavailable