Chaos And Forecasting - Proceedings Of The Royal Society Discussion Meeting by Howell A M Tong

Chaos And Forecasting - Proceedings Of The Royal Society Discussion Meeting by Howell A M Tong

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Summary

This text is based on a Royal Society Meeting on Chaos and Forecasting held in London in 1994, that covered fields as diverse as biology, economics, epidemiology and earthquake science. It examines applications to nonlinear forecasting of both artificially-generated time series and real data.

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Chaos And Forecasting - Proceedings Of The Royal Society Discussion Meeting by Howell A M Tong

It is now generally recognised that very simple dynamical systems can produce apparently random behaviour. In the last couple of years, attention has turned to focus on the flip side of this coin: random-looking time series (or random-looking patterns in space) may indeed be the result of very complicated processes or “real noise”, but they may equally well be produced by some very simple mechanism (a low-dimensional attractor). In either case, a long-term prediction will be possible only in probabilistic terms. However, in the very short term, random systems will still be unpredictable but low-dimensional chaotic ones may be predictable (appearances to the contrary). The Royal Society held a two-day discussion meeting on topics covering diverse fields, including biology, economics, geophysics, meteorology, statistics, epidemiology, earthquake science and many others. Each topic was covered by a leading expert in the field. The meeting dealt with different basic approaches to the problem of chaos and forecasting, and covered applications to nonlinear forecasting of both artificially-generated time series and real data from context in the above-mentioned diverse fields. This book marks a rather special and rare occasion on which prominent scientists from different areas converge on the same theme. It forms an informative introduction to the science of chaos, with special reference to real data.
SKU Unavailable
ISBN 13 9789810238117
ISBN 10 9810238118
Title Chaos And Forecasting - Proceedings Of The Royal Society Discussion Meeting
Author Howell A M Tong
Series Nonlinear Time Series And Chaos
Condition Unavailable
Binding Type Paperback
Publisher World Scientific Publishing Co Pte Ltd
Year published 1995-04-01
Number of pages 356
Cover note Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
Note Unavailable