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Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs G. L. S. Shackle

Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs By G. L. S. Shackle

Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs by G. L. S. Shackle


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Summary

Originally published in 1969, Professor Shackle's book examines how a decision is made by exploiting the best present effect, the scope afforded to imagination by what is known and by the gaps in that knowledge. This second edition has a fresh preface, an extra chapter and a number of additions to its bibliography.

Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs Summary

Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs by G. L. S. Shackle

Originally published in 1969, the second edition of Professor Shackle's book has a fresh preface, an extra chapter and a number of additions to its bibliography. The extra chapter is concerned with the point at which one would decide to abandon an old policy and replace it with a new one. It is, in the words of the author, a further, rather radical development of the Stockholm sequence analysis. Professor Shackle examines how a decision can be rational only in a special sense, that of exploiting to the best present effect, on the decision-maker's state of mind, the scope afforded to imagination by what is known and by the gaps in that knowledge. The attempt made in this book to provide a theory of such decision has been called 'an existentialist economics'.

Table of Contents

Preface to the second edition; Preface to the first edition; Part I. Time: 1. Decision; 2. Imagination, expectation, anticipation; 3. The solitary moment; 4. Insulated dynamic schemes; 5. Three critics; 6. Time and decision in sum; Part II. Uncertainty: 7. Uncertainty as probability; 8. Professor Niehans on probability; 9. Uncertainty as possibility; 10. Potential surprise axiomatized; 11. Critics of potential surprise; 12. Uncertainty in sum; Part III. Ascendancy: 14. A basic model; 15. The neutral outcome; 16. Cardinality; 17. The cardinal potential surprise curve; 18. The ascendancy function; 19. Focus elements; 20. Choice amongst actions; 21. Critics of focus elements; 22. Mr Egerton's theory of asset portfolios; 23. Ascendancy in sum; Part IV. Expectation of Change of Own Expectation: 24. Expectation of change of own expectation; 25. The basis of change of expectations; Part V. Some Economic Illustrations: 26. Horizon, interest and investment; 27. A theory of the interest rate; 28. Profit and the range of non-revision; 29. Order and decision in economics; Part VI. Policy, Profit and Decision: 30. Policy, profit and decision; Bibliography; Index.

Additional information

NLS9780521147491
9780521147491
0521147492
Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs by G. L. S. Shackle
New
Paperback
Cambridge University Press
2010-06-24
348
N/A
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
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