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Useless Arithmetic Orrin H. Pilkey

Useless Arithmetic By Orrin H. Pilkey

Useless Arithmetic by Orrin H. Pilkey


£12,30
New RRP £80,00
Condition - Very Good
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Summary

Shows that the quantitative mathematical models policy makers and government administrators use to form environmental policies are seriously flawed. This book argues that based on unrealistic and sometimes false assumptions, these models often yield answers that support unwise policies.

Useless Arithmetic Summary

Useless Arithmetic: Why Environmental Scientists Can't Predict the Future by Orrin H. Pilkey

Noted coastal geologist Orrin Pilkey and environmental scientist Linda Pilkey-Jarvis show that the quantitative mathematical models policy makers and government administrators use to form environmental policies are seriously flawed. Based on unrealistic and sometimes false assumptions, these models often yield answers that support unwise policies. Writing for the general, nonmathematician reader and using examples from throughout the environmental sciences, Pilkey and Pilkey-Jarvis show how unquestioned faith in mathematical models can blind us to the hard data and sound judgment of experienced scientific fieldwork. They begin with a riveting account of the extinction of the North Atlantic cod on the Grand Banks of Canada. Next they engage in a general discussion of the limitations of many models across a broad array of crucial environmental subjects. The book offers fascinating case studies depicting how the seductiveness of quantitative models has led to unmanageable nuclear waste disposal practices, poisoned mining sites, unjustifiable faith in predicted sea level rise rates, bad predictions of future shoreline erosion rates, overoptimistic cost estimates of artificial beaches, and a host of other thorny problems. The authors demonstrate how many modelers have been reckless, employing fudge factors to assure correct answers and caring little if their models actually worked. A timely and urgent book written in an engaging style, Useless Arithmetic evaluates the assumptions behind models, the nature of the field data, and the dialogue between modelers and their customers.

Useless Arithmetic Reviews

This book is a welcome antidote to the blind use of supposedly quantitative models. -- Carl Wunsch American Scientist This is an easy and persuasive read. -- Fred Pearce New Scientist Useless Arithmetic dispels many myths and is a 'must read' packing in case studies and insights on faulty thinking. The Midwest Book Review [This] readily accessible book should be read by any activist who's ever had to face off against the opposition's engineers. Earth Island Journal A concise, powerful, and readable book. -- Steven R. Carpenter Issues in Science and Technology This book should be in every library... Essential. Choice Useless Arithmetic will surely excite any reader. -- David Simberloff BioScience

About Orrin H. Pilkey

Orrin H. Pilkey is the James B. Duke Professor of Geology emeritus and director emeritus of the Program for the Study of Developed Shorelines at Duke University's Nicholas School of the Environment. He has written numerous books, including A Celebration of the World's Barrier Islands, and is the editor of the twenty-four-volume series, Living with the Shore.Linda Pilkey-Jarvis is a geologist in the State of Washington's Department of Ecology, where she helps manage the state's oil spills program.

Additional information

GOR004047944
9780231132121
0231132123
Useless Arithmetic: Why Environmental Scientists Can't Predict the Future by Orrin H. Pilkey
Used - Very Good
Hardback
Columbia University Press
20070109
248
Winner of Choice Outstanding Academic Title 2007
Book picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual binding, cover or edition may vary.
This is a used book - there is no escaping the fact it has been read by someone else and it will show signs of wear and previous use. Overall we expect it to be in very good condition, but if you are not entirely satisfied please get in touch with us

Customer Reviews - Useless Arithmetic